Free Newsletter

Stay Ahead of the
Prediction Markets

Daily intelligence on prediction markets, probability analysis, and forecasting. Join traders and analysts who read Prediction Edge every morning.

Free forever. Unsubscribe anytime. No spam.

Daily
Published at 07:10 UTC
5 min
Average read time
Free
Always

What You Get

Your Daily Edge in Prediction Markets

Prediction Edge cuts through the noise and delivers what actually moves markets.

๐Ÿ“Š

Market Intelligence

Daily updates on the biggest prediction market moves โ€” what's mispriced, what's shifting, and where the edge is.

๐ŸŽฏ

Probability Analysis

Break down events with real probability frameworks. Stop guessing, start calibrating.

๐Ÿ“ˆ

Trading Insights

Practical signals for Polymarket, Manifold, Metaculus and more. Edges you can actually act on.

๐Ÿง 

Forecasting Models

How superforecasters think and what models they use โ€” distilled into actionable frameworks.

๐Ÿ”ฅ

Hot Markets

The most active, most liquid prediction markets right now. What the crowd is betting on and why.

โšก

Breaking Signals

When major news breaks, we cover the prediction market implications โ€” fast.


Sample Issue

What Our Readers See

Sample Issue โ€” Prediction Edge

๐Ÿ“Š BTC Price Markets: 62% vs 71% โ€” the crowd is wrong again

Polymarket has BTC ending Q2 above $80k at 62%. On-chain data tells a different story. Hash rate hit an all-time high this week, long-term holder supply is at 77%, and exchange outflows are accelerating. Our model puts the probability closer to 71-73%. That's a 9-11% gap โ€” meaningful edge for patient traders.

๐ŸŽฏ Signal: Consider YES positions at current pricing. Historical accuracy on similar setups: 68%.

Crypto Markets BTC

Start Reading Tomorrow Morning

Join prediction market traders and analysts who start each day with Prediction Edge.

Free forever. Unsubscribe anytime. GDPR compliant.