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Prediction Edge cuts through the noise and delivers what actually moves markets.
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Polymarket has BTC ending Q2 above $80k at 62%. On-chain data tells a different story. Hash rate hit an all-time high this week, long-term holder supply is at 77%, and exchange outflows are accelerating. Our model puts the probability closer to 71-73%. That's a 9-11% gap โ meaningful edge for patient traders.
๐ฏ Signal: Consider YES positions at current pricing. Historical accuracy on similar setups: 68%.
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